Mid-September Phoenix Market: The Latest Data and a Weekend Full of Valley Events
By Susan Nevel, REALTOR · AZ & Associates
Happy Wednesday, neighbors. We are officially past the heart of summer in the Valley, the evenings are getting cooler, and the community calendar is bursting with events again. I love this time of year. It is also a great moment to check in on where the Phoenix real estate market stands, because the numbers I am watching point to a steady, balanced market with real opportunity for buyers. I want to be your Realtor for Life, so consider this your mid-September update on both the market and the best ways to enjoy the weekend.
Where the Phoenix Market Stands Right Now
Based on the latest housing market tracking into early September, the Phoenix metro median home price is hovering around $458,000 to $460,000. That is up slightly versus the prior few months, according to recent home price data, and it continues a trend of slow, steady growth rather than big swings. Homes are averaging about 55 to 56 days on the market, with roughly two offers per home on average, and inventory is running near balanced levels, roughly a month and a half of supply in metro Phoenix.
Two patterns keep showing up in the data. First, active listings are running about 27 percent higher than a year ago, which means buyers have more choices than they did last September. Second, around 31 percent of current listings have seen price reductions, a sign that sellers who priced too aggressively are adjusting to meet the market. Local real estate coverage for the valley has described this as a "stalemate" of sorts, with buyers and sellers each waiting on the other. My take: that is actually a wonderful window for buyers, because patient, well-prepared buyers have negotiating power and time to tour.
On mortgage rates, 30-year fixed rates in Arizona are running roughly 6.7 to 7 percent as we kick off September. I know that rate feels higher than a few years ago, but remember, you can always refinance later, and getting into the right home at the right price matters more today. I can connect you with trusted local lenders who will walk you through every program, including options for buyers with lower credit scores and ways to buy with as little as $1,500 out of pocket.
Mark Your Calendars: The Arizona State Fair Returns
One of the biggest announcements of the season: the Arizona State Fair opens Thursday, October 1 and runs through Sunday, November 1 at the Arizona State Fairgrounds on West McDowell Road in Phoenix. This year's theme is "Welcome to a State of Wonder," and the fair is open Thursday through Sunday, weather permitting. Whether you love the food, the rides, or the community spirit, it is a can't-miss fall tradition for the whole family. I will see you there.
Big Weekend Ahead: September 12 in the Valley
This Saturday is shaping up to be an incredible day across the metro. Here is what I am most excited about:
- Goldrush Festival at Rawhide in Chandler runs Friday and Saturday, September 11 and 12, with headliners including Alesso, deadmau5, Griz, and Martin Garrix. It is one of the biggest electronic music weekends of the year in the East Valley.
- Noche UFC takes over Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale on Saturday night, September 12. If you love fight night, this West Valley showdown is not to be missed.
- Godsmack with Stone Temple Pilots and Dorothy plays Talking Stick Resort Amphitheatre in Scottsdale Saturday, September 12. A rock-heavy lineup in a beautiful outdoor East Valley venue.
More Fall Fun Across the Valley
If you are not a concert person, there is no shortage of community fun through the rest of September. The Edelweiss Bier Innen in Phoenix kick off its Oktoberfest celebration on Saturday, September 19, running through October 31 with German beer, food, and music. On Saturday, September 26, the Phoenix Oktoberfest bar crawl starts at Copper Blues Rock Pub & Kitchen, and the free "Action & Adventure Festival" takes over Arizona Boardwalk in Scottsdale with games and family fun.
Food lovers and bargain hunters, mark September 27. That is when Mesa Market Place opens at 10550 E. Baseline Rd. in Mesa, a weekend market running Fridays through Sundays from 7:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. through the season, perfect for fresh produce, local goods, and a cheerful Saturday morning. Farmers market loyalists also know the Chandler-Gilbert Community College Farmers Market at 2626 E. Pecos Road in Chandler runs Saturdays from 7 to 11 a.m. through the month.
What This Means for Your Next Move
I have been a full-time Realtor in Arizona since 2002, and I have watched our market go through every season you can name. What I see today is balance: more inventory, more negotiation, and more choice. If you have been waiting on the sidelines, this fall is a genuinely good time to start your search. And one gentle reminder: if you are eyeing a new construction home, please contact me before you visit a builder on your own. I have resources that can help you get the best deal possible on a new build, and it can save you thousands.
I am always available to answer your questions, from "Can I really buy with less than $1,500 out of pocket?" to "What happens to my loan if my credit score is not perfect?" Call or text me at (623) 640-8840 or reach out online. I want you to have a smooth process and experience from start to finish. That is what it means to be Your Realtor for Life. Have a wonderful rest of your week, and enjoy everything this beautiful Valley has to offer. Talk to you soon!
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